Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 1
Pontypridd

Whitmore (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wright (42')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, September 24 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawPontypridd Town AFC
46.02% (0.087000000000003 0.09)25.07% (0.664 0.66)28.9% (-0.756 -0.76)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-2.692 -2.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (-3.317 -3.32)48.36% (3.313 3.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (-3.108 -3.11)70.5% (3.103 3.1)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (-1.315 -1.32)21.04% (1.31 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (-2.091 -2.09)53.84% (2.087 2.09)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (-2.22 -2.22)30.65% (2.215 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (-2.71 -2.71)66.89% (2.704 2.7)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 46.02%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 28.9%
    Draw 25.07%
Pen-y-BontDrawPontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 10.05% (0.946 0.95)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.445 0.44)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.316 -0.32)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.02%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.43 0.43)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.839 0.84)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.365 -0.37)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.203 -0.2)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.572 0.57)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.247 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.291 -0.29)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.9%