Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.