Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT The Oval

Fidel O'Rourke 5'
Joe Faux 70'

Jack Wilson 57'

Caernarfon Town vs Haverfordwest County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
L
W
W
L
W

Welsh Premier League

W
L
W
W
L
W

Last game

Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm

Caernarfon 3 - 1 Airbus UK

Goals scored

45

Top scorer

Fidel O'Rourke

Haverfordwest County

All competitions

L
L
W
D
W
L

Welsh Premier League

L
L
W
D
W
L

Last game

Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm

Haverfordwest 2 - 3 Newtown

Goals scored

46

Top scorer

Jordan Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.

Result

Caernarfon Town 47.34% ▲ (+0.48)

Draw 23.29% ▼ (-0.10)

Haverfordwest County 29.36% ▼ (-0.38)

Both Teams to Score:

61.2% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.98% ▲ (+0.25)

Under 2.5 40.02% ▼ (-0.25)

Over 3.5 37.61% ▲ (+0.26)

Under 3.5 62.38% ▼ (-0.26)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 82.81% ▲ (+0.28)

Under 0.5 17.18% ▼ (-0.28)

Over 1.5 52.55% ▲ (+0.49)

Under 1.5 47.45% ▼ (-0.49)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5 73.9% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 0.5 26.1% ▲ (+0.13)

Over 1.5 38.84% ▼ (-0.17)

Under 1.5 61.16% ▲ (+0.17)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 47.34%

Draw 23.29%

Haverfordwest County 29.36%

Caernarfon Town

2-1 @ 9.34% ▲ (+0.04)

1-0 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.02)

2-0 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.05)

3-1 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.07)

3-0 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.07)

3-2 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.04)

4-1 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.06)

4-0 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.05)

4-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 4.06%

Total : 47.34%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.61% ▼ (-0.07)

2-2 @ 6.28%

0-0 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.06)

3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 0.27%

Total : 23.29%

Haverfordwest County

1-2 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.07)

0-1 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.10)

0-2 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.08)

1-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.05)

2-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.05)

1-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 3.28%

Total : 29.36%

Head to Head

Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Jordan Davies 80'

Ben Wynne 52'

Mar 26, 2022 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Corey Shepherd 5'
Dan Williams 33'
Dylan Rees 90'+3'

John Disney 12'
Danny Holmes 32'
George Horan 42'
Kris Owens 83'

Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Dylan Rees 42'
Kyle Patten 63'
Mason Jones-Thomas 68'

Noah Edwards 30'
Danny Gosset 35'
Steve Evans 45'
Cai Jones 61'
Noah Edwards 64'
Jakub Ojrzynski 85'

Aug 14, 2021 5.15pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Rob Hughes 32'
Aaron Simpson 42'
Darren Thomas 66'
Danny Gosset 74'
Charles Jones 90'+4'

Corey Shepherd 59'
Henry Jones 72'
Dan Summerfield 90'+4'

Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm

1

4

HT : 1 2

FT

Josh Tibbetts 7'
Gareth Edwards 25'
Jack Kenny 39'
Darren Thomas 68'
Gareth Edwards 70'

Jack Wilson 29'
Ben Fawcett 35'
Ben Fawcett 37'
Ben Fawcett 56'
Marcus Griffiths 87'

Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

42'
90'+2'
90'+3'

Joe Williams 29'
64'
Mike Hayes 74'
Josh Tibbetts 82'

Form Data

Caernarfon 3 - 1 Airbus UK

Newtown 2 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 5 - 1 Cardiff MU

Caernarfon 2 - 0 Pontypridd

Haverfordwest 1 - 0 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Flint Town

Haverfordwest 2 - 3 Newtown

Pen-y-Bont 3 - 2 Haverfordwest

Haverfordwest 3 - 0 Airbus UK

Bala Town 1 - 1 Haverfordwest

Haverfordwest 1 - 0 Caernarfon

Haverfordwest 1 - 2 Cardiff MU