Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon2 - 1Haverfordwest
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-1 Airbus UK
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Cardiff MU | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Caernarfon Town | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Flint Town United | 5 | 3 | 9 |
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-3 Newtown
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Bala Town | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Haverfordwest County | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Newtown AFC | 5 | -3 | 7 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
47.34% ( 0.47) | 23.29% ( -0.1) | 29.36% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 61.2% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
