Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 73.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 10.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for The New Saints in this match.