Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 15.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.44%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.