Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.