Welsh Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 18, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Park Avenue Ground
  • Jonathan Evans 4' goal
  • Jonathan Evans 32' goal
  • goal Clayton Green 31'

Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Bala Town 3 - 0 Aberystwyth
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Jonathan Evans

Pontypridd United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Nov 6, 2022 2.00pm
Pontypridd 0 - 5 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Ben Ahmun

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Aberystwyth Town 36.1% (+0.74)
Draw 25.15% (+0.30)
Pontypridd United 38.75% (-1.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.17% (-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.61% (-1.27)
Under 2.5 46.39% (+1.27)
Over 3.5 31.32% (-1.20)
Under 3.5 68.68% (+1.21)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.9% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 25.1% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 40.2% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 59.8% (+0.25)

Pontypridd United Goals

Over 0.5 76.33% (-1.08)
Under 0.5 23.67% (+1.09)
Over 1.5 42.22% (-1.58)
Under 1.5 57.78% (+1.59)

Score analysis

Aberystwyth Town 36.1%
Draw 25.14%
Pontypridd United 38.75%
Aberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 8.21% (+0.40)
2-1 @ 8.18% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 5.68% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 3.77% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.62% (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 36.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 5.94% (+0.32)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.14%
Pontypridd United
0-1 @ 8.56% (+0.19)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.20)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.16)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.13)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.09)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 38.75%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ynysangharad Park
  • Owain Jones 26' goal
  • Clayton Green 58' yellowcard
  • Ben Ahmun 75' goal
  • goal Alex Darlington 86'