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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
2 - 1
Haverfordwest

Arnison (24'), Owen (50')
Evans (28'), Arnison (76'), Flint (78'), Owen (81')
Evans (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Davies (58')
Scotcher (61')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
32.56% (-0.117 -0.12) 24.25% (0.0010000000000012 0) 43.19% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 59.48% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.98% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)43.01% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.58% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)65.41% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)25.56% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (-0.123 -0.12)60.43% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (0.028000000000006 0.03)20.09% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67% (0.051000000000002 0.05)52.33% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 32.56%
    Haverfordwest County 43.19%
    Draw 24.25%
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.78% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 32.56%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.54% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 43.19%

Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-1
Aberystwyth

Rees (54'), (55'), Wilson (90+4')
Bradford (82')
Davies (55'), Corbisiero (61'), Davies (63')
Mar 15, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-6
Haverfordwest

Bradford (49'), Jones (74'), Veale (88'), Evans (90+3')
Jenkins (79')
Touray Sisay (16', 46', 62'), Davies (80' pen.), Shepherd (84'), Jones (89')
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-0
Aberystwyth

Rees (61'), Lewis (63'), Shepherd (65')

Rimmer (42'), Franklin (42'), Thorn (90'), Thorn (90')
Feb 1, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-0
Haverfordwest
Phillips (65'), Jones (74' pen.)
Thorn (19'), Rimmer (67'), Wynne (88')

Watts (62')
Jones (73')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
2-2
Haverfordwest
Jones (8'), Reed (43' pen.)
Kearney (28'), Bradford (30'), Williams (56')
Wilson (32'), Williams (45')
Wilson (27'), Tancock (27')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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