Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.