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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
2 - 1
Flint Town

Thorn (65'), Flint (85' pen.)
Thorn (45+1'), Arnison (61'), Williams (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hughes (81')
Harrison (43'), Carroll (45+1'), Hindle (84'), Beaumont (88')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Flint Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 1-0 Airbus UK
Saturday, October 22 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberystwyth Town in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawFlint Town United
40.59% (-0.477 -0.48) 24.36% (-0.058 -0.06) 35.05% (0.544 0.54)
Both teams to score 59.86% (0.345 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.16% (0.395 0.39)42.84% (-0.386 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.76% (0.39 0.39)65.24% (-0.381 -0.38)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)21.2% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)54.08% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (0.48999999999999 0.49)24.04% (-0.482 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.7% (0.692 0.69)58.3% (-0.683 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 40.59%
    Flint Town United 35.05%
    Draw 24.35%
Aberystwyth TownDrawFlint Town United
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.074 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.05%

Head to Head
Sep 9, 2022 7.45pm
Flint Town
P-P
Aberystwyth
Oct 29, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Flint Town
Bradford (65')
Jones (19'), Bradford (90+6')
Kenny (29', 69')
Harwood (3'), Kenny (20'), Maher (57')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Flint Town
1-0
Aberystwyth
Jones (90+4')
Phillips (88')

Veale (37'), Franklin (61'), Zabret (78'), Jones (90+3'), Phillips (90+3')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Flint Town
0-0
Aberystwyth

Maher (45+2'), Bratley (55'), Nash (59'), Hart (79'), Edwards (90+2'), Rushton (90+3')
Amis (45+4')

Franklin (34'), Kearney (43'), Jones (45+2'), Owen (79'), Jenkins (90+4')
Franklin (34')
Apr 16, 2021 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
0-1
Flint Town

Franklin (12'), Jones (67'), J (72'), Rimmer (90+1')
Amis (73')
Clarke (81'), Foulkes (87'), Amis (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU188462722528
5Barry Town UnitedBarry178452729-228
6Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon177462425-125
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1852112335-1217
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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