Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Ground Cae-y-Castell

Flint Town
1 - 1
Pen-y-Bont

Owen (27')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Reynolds (43')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 6-2 New Saints
Friday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Pontypridd
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Flint Town UnitedDrawPen-y-Bont
37.42% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)24.79% (-0.041 -0.04)37.8% (0.533 0.53)
Both teams to score 58.55% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35% (0.194 0.19)44.65% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99% (0.188 0.19)67.01% (-0.19 -0.19)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.42% (-0.173 -0.17)23.58% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.35% (-0.249 -0.25)57.65% (0.247 0.25)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (0.37 0.37)23.38% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.64% (0.535 0.53)57.36% (-0.535 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Flint Town United 37.42%
    Pen-y-Bont 37.8%
    Draw 24.78%
Flint Town UnitedDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 37.42%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.044 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 37.8%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Flint Town
Kavanagh (47'), Griffiths (59')
Kavanagh (44'), Borge (65'), Griffiths (90')
Akpa Akpro (30')
Harrison (38'), Akpa Akpro (66'), Simmonds (85')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Flint Town
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
 Flint Town win 3-1 on penalties
Jones (6')
Roberts (51'), Nash (53')
Wood (53' pen.)
Snaith (81'), Owen (83')
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-3
Flint Town

Harling (11')
Reynolds (20')
Nash (22'), Cadwallader (34', 44')
Roberts (45')
Mar 26, 2022 2.30pm
Flint Town
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Cadwallader (48')
Maher (58'), Jones (90+5'), Harwood (90+6')

Snaith (58'), Davies (58'), Whitmore (61')
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Flint Town
Wood (2')
Evans (84')
Wilde (37' pen.)
Maher (45+2'), Weaver (51'), Edwards (89')