Welsh Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Oval
  • Fidel O'Rourke 82' goal
  • Ben Wynne 86' goal

Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Pontypridd 3 - 1 Caernarfon
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Fidel O'Rourke

Flint Town United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Flint Town 1 - 1 Pen-y-Bont
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Okera Simmonds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result

Caernarfon Town 41.89% (-0.11)
Draw 24.97% (-0.02)
Flint Town United 33.14% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.16% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.86% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 46.14% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 31.56% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 68.44% (-0.08)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 78% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 44.69% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 55.31% (+0.03)

Flint Town United Goals

Over 0.5 73.28% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 26.72% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 38.02% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 61.98% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 41.89%
Draw 24.97%
Flint Town United 33.14%
Caernarfon Town
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.96% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.97%
Flint Town United
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.75% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.12% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.41% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.25% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 33.14%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
May 14, 2022 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Oval
  • Noah Edwards 22' yellowcard
  • Dion Donohue 44' yellowcard
  • Danny Gosset 97' goal
  • Laurie Bell 120' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Hart 38'
  • yellowcard Alex Jones 100'
  • goal Ben Nash 102'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 1 4
FT
  • Ross Weaver 3' yellowcard
  • Dan Roberts 28' goal
  • Alex Jones 45' yellowcard
  • Ben Nash 69' yellowcard
  • Jack Kenny 70' yellowcard
  • Mark Cadwallader 75' goal
  • Mark Cadwallader 77' goal
  • Connor Harwood 85' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • Ross Weaver 88' redcard
  • goal Mike Hayes 21'
  • goal Rob Hughes 22'
  • yellowcard Rob Hughes 35'
  • yellowcard Ryan Williams 39'
  • goal Noah Edwards 42'
  • goal Dion Donohue 45'+2'
  • redcard Aaron Simpson 63'
  • yellowcard Darren Thomas 70'
  • yellowcard Noah Edwards 76'
  • yellowcard Josh Bailey 78'
  • yellowcard Gruffydd John 89'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rob Hughes 12' goal
  • Noah Edwards 23' yellowcard
  • Aaron Simpson 75' yellowcard
  • Mike Hayes 83' goal
  • yellowcard Jake Phillips 24'
  • yellowcard Dan Roberts 32'
  • yellowcard Alex Jones 33'
  • goal Michael Wilde 72'
  • goal Connor Harwood 76'
  • goal Michael Wilde 89'
  • yellowcard Sam Hart 90'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 11
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Callum Bratley 31' yellowcard
  • Josh Amis 64' yellowcard
  • Connor Harwood 68' yellowcard
  • Ben Maher 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Kenny 34'
  • yellowcard Noah Edwards 45'+2'
  • goal Gareth Edwards 63'
  • goal Sion Bradley 66'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 30, 2020 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Louis Augustin Malandjou Kondjo 36' yellowcard
  • 60' yellowcard
  • Paulo Mendes 73' goal
  • Charles Jones 76' goal
  • 83' yellowcard
  • Darren Thomas 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Craig 20'
  • yellowcard Ben Nash 38'
  • yellowcard Connor Harwood 42'
  • yellowcard 60'
  • yellowcard John Danby 88'
  • goal Richie Foulkes 89'