Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 0
Flint Town

O'Rourke (82'), Wynne (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Flint Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 3-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawFlint Town United
41.89% (-0.107 -0.11)24.97% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)33.14% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 57.16% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.86% (0.073 0.07)46.14% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (0.068999999999999 0.07)68.44% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)22% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.69% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)55.31% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28% (0.10499999999999 0.1)26.72% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.02% (0.139 0.14)61.98% (-0.142 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 41.89%
    Flint Town United 33.14%
    Draw 24.97%
Caernarfon TownDrawFlint Town United
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.89%
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.12% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 33.14%

Head to Head
May 14, 2022 2pm
Caernarfon
2-1
Flint Town
Gosset (97'), Bell (120')
Edwards (22'), Donohue (44')
Nash (102')
Hart (38'), Jones (100')
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
Flint Town
3-4
Caernarfon
Roberts (28'), Cadwallader (75' pen., 77')
Weaver (3'), Jones (45'), Nash (69'), Kenny (70'), Harwood (85'), (87')
Weaver (88')
Hayes (21'), Hughes (22'), Edwards (42'), Donohue (45+2' pen.)
Hughes (35'), Williams (39'), Thomas (70'), Edwards (76'), Bailey (78'), John (89')
Simpson (63')
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-3
Flint Town
Hughes (12'), Hayes (83')
Edwards (23'), Simpson (75')
Wilde (72', 89'), Harwood (76')
Phillips (24'), Roberts (32'), Jones (33'), Hart (90')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Flint Town
0-2
Caernarfon

Bratley (31'), Amis (64'), Harwood (68'), Maher (72')
Edwards (63'), Bradley (66')
Kenny (34'), Edwards (45+2')
Sep 30, 2020 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-1
Flint Town
Mendes (73'), Jones (76')
Augustin Malandjou Kondjo (36'), (60'), (83'), Thomas (88')
Foulkes (89')
Craig (20'), Nash (38'), Harwood (42'), (60'), Danby (88')