MX23RW : Friday, December 13 01:44:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 1
Aberystwyth

O'Rourke (20'), Marsh-Hughes (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Litchfield (81')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-0 Flint Town
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-1 Haverfordwest
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
44.82% (-0.584 -0.58) 25.45% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 29.73% (0.632 0.63)
Both teams to score 54.05% (0.533 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.48% (0.521 0.52)49.51% (-0.523 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.45% (0.467 0.47)71.54% (-0.47 -0.47)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)22.06% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)55.41% (0.07 0.07)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (0.723 0.72)30.65% (-0.725 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11% (0.848 0.85)66.89% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 44.81%
    Aberystwyth Town 29.73%
    Draw 25.44%
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 44.81%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.123 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.73%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
1-0
Aberystwyth
Morris (71' pen.)
Harrison (28')

Davies (31'), Veale (45'), Jenkins (71'), Orford (72'), Thorn (73')
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
3-3
Aberystwyth
Evans (10'), John Williams (25'), Gosset (68')
Donohue (4'), John Williams (33'), Ojrzynski (58'), Cartwright (90')
Franklin (28'), Jones (59' pen., 62')
Davies (78')
Oct 9, 2021 2.30pm
Aberystwyth
0-1
Caernarfon

Rimmer (6'), (39'), (64')
Thomas (17')
French (19'), (31'), (32')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-2
Aberystwyth
Bickerstaff (84'), Bradley (88')
Kenny (52'), (54'), (89'), (90+4'), (90+5')
Owen (40'), Jenkins (90+5')
Williams (44'), Owen (78')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Caernarfon
Williams (88')
Davies (49'), Hewitt (64'), Bradford (90+2'), Rimmer (90+4')
Kenny (21'), Thomas (44')
Hayes (74'), Thomas (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU188462722528
5Barry Town UnitedBarry178452729-228
6Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon177462425-125
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1852112335-1217
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!