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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
3 - 1
Aberystwyth

Davies (10'), Jenkins (24'), Fawcett (88')
Watts (43'), Fawcett (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bradford (37')
Horwood (8'), Evans (70'), Litchfield (81'), Darlington (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-0 Haverfordwest
Friday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 3-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawAberystwyth Town
56.79% (0.891 0.89) 22.36% (-0.357 -0.36) 20.85% (-0.527 -0.53)
Both teams to score 55.14% (0.41 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (0.922 0.92)43.83% (-0.915 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (0.894 0.89)66.22% (-0.887 -0.89)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.77% (0.619 0.62)15.23% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.12% (1.149 1.15)43.89% (-1.143 -1.14)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.012 0.01)34.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)71.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 56.78%
    Aberystwyth Town 20.86%
    Draw 22.36%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.149 0.15)
3-0 @ 5.92% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.13 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.071 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 56.78%
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 20.86%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-1
Haverfordwest
Arnison (24'), Owen (50')
Evans (28')
Davies (58')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-1
Aberystwyth

Rees (54'), (55'), Wilson (90+4')
Bradford (82')
Davies (55'), Corbisiero (61'), Davies (63')
Mar 15, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-6
Haverfordwest

Bradford (49'), Jones (74'), Veale (88'), Evans (90+3')
Jenkins (79')
Touray Sisay (16', 46', 62'), Davies (80' pen.), Shepherd (84'), Jones (89')
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-0
Aberystwyth

Rees (61'), Lewis (63'), Shepherd (65')

Rimmer (42'), Franklin (42'), Thorn (90'), Thorn (90')
Feb 1, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-0
Haverfordwest
Phillips (65'), Jones (74' pen.)
Thorn (19'), Rimmer (67'), Wynne (88')

Watts (62')
Jones (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU188462722528
5Barry Town UnitedBarry178452729-228
6Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon177462425-125
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1852112335-1217
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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