Connah's Quay3 - 0Aberystwyth
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
for
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 77.94%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
Result | ||
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
77.94% ( 0.48) | 14.75% ( -0.26) | 7.31% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 41.97% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.28% ( 0.4) | 40.72% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.9% ( 0.4) | 63.1% ( -0.41) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.44% ( 0.2) | 8.56% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.4% ( 0.5) | 29.6% ( -0.5) |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.9% ( -0.3) | 54.1% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.66% ( -0.19) | 87.33% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
2-0 @ 13.99% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 77.93% | 1-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.49% Total : 14.75% | 0-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.32% Total : 7.31% |
Owen (45'), Veale (52'), Franklin (57'), Rimmer (87')
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 40 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 17 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 36 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 30 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 28 |
5 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 28 |
6 | Bala TownBala Town | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
7 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 45 | -31 | 10 |
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