Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
2 - 1
Pen-y-Bont

Dugan (10'), Veale (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)
D. Wood (90+4' pen.)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Airbus UK 1-2 Haverfordwest
Saturday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-0 New Saints
Saturday, November 19 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawPen-y-Bont
27.84% (0.004999999999999 0)24.1%48.06% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 57.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.88% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.12% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)29.57% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.6% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.26% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.74% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.88% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)50.12% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 27.84%
    Pen-y-Bont 48.06%
    Draw 24.1%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 6.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.75%
2-0 @ 4.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 27.84%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 9.47%
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.22%
1-4 @ 2.21%
0-4 @ 1.82%
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 48.06%

Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
3-2
Haverfordwest
Kavanagh (15'), Reffell (49'), Reynolds (72')
Borge (16')
Fawcett (18'), Humphreys (88')
Jenkins (38')
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
2-2
Pen-y-Bont
Watts (7'), Touray Sisay (80')
Rees (42'), Rees (88'), Richards (88')
Ahmun (12'), Owen (43')
Morris (44'), Davies (72'), Evans (88')
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Haverfordwest
Wood (54'), Borge (74')
Waite (38'), Owen (62'), Evans (75')
Touray Sisay (90+3')
Patten (49')
Apr 2, 2021 5pm
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Haverfordwest
Snaith (45+1'), Davies (60')
Jefferies (21'), Georgievsky (55')

Summerfield (90')
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-4
Pen-y-Bont

Fawcett (25')
Jefferies (26'), Dalton (41'), Griffiths (81', 88')
Davies (33'), Harling (77')