Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon0 - 2Pen-y-Bont
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pen-y-Bont.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-3 Caernarfon
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
35.49% ( 0.52) | 24.88% ( -0.2) | 39.63% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 58.04% ( 0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.77% ( 1.01) | 45.24% ( -1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.42% ( 0.96) | 67.58% ( -0.95) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.1% ( 0.77) | 24.91% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.47% ( 1.06) | 59.53% ( -1.05) |
Pen-y-Bont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.29% ( 0.29) | 22.71% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.63% ( 0.42) | 56.37% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Caernarfon Town 35.49%
Pen-y-Bont 39.63%
Draw 24.88%
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.49% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.63% |
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Caernarfon
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Hayes (57')
Hughes (45')
Hughes (45')
Snaith (4'), Evans (90' og.)
Evans (59'), Watts (84')
Evans (59'), Watts (84')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Caernarfon
Wood (35')
Evans (61')
Evans (61')
Jones (67')
Edwards (13'), Donohue (33'), Hughes (62')
Edwards (13'), Donohue (33'), Hughes (62')
May 1, 2021 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-2
Pen-y-Bont
Bickerstaff (20'), Bradley (90+4')
Owen (34'), Harling (70')
Davies (78'), Evans (83')
Davies (78'), Evans (83')
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Caernarfon
Malandjou (26'), John Williams (28'), Williams (68'), Kenny (90')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-21 14:29:35
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