Welsh Premier League Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Oval
  • goal Nathan Wood 22'
  • goal Ryan Reynolds 70'

Caernarfon Town vs Pen-y-Bont - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU 0 - 3 Caernarfon
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Fidel O'Rourke

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Bala Town 1 - 1 Pen-y-Bont
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Nathan Wood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result

Caernarfon Town 35.49% (+0.53)
Draw 24.88% (-0.21)
Pen-y-Bont 39.63% (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.04% (+0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.77% (+1.01)
Under 2.5 45.24% (-1.01)
Over 3.5 32.42% (+0.96)
Under 3.5 67.58% (-0.96)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.1% (+0.78)
Under 0.5 24.91% (-0.77)
Over 1.5 40.47% (+1.06)
Under 1.5 59.53% (-1.06)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 77.29% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 22.71% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 43.63% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 56.37% (-0.42)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 35.49%
Draw 24.88%
Pen-y-Bont 39.63%
Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.1% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 5.46% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.75% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.78% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 2.53% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.3% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 35.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 6% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.25)
3-3 @ 1.38% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.88%
Pen-y-Bont
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.30)
0-2 @ 6.21% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 4.27% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.07% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.97% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.58% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 39.63%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Rob Hughes 45' yellowcard
  • Mike Hayes 57' goal
  • goal Sam Snaith 4'
  • yellowcard Ashley Evans 59'
  • yellowcard Keane Watts 84'
  • goal Ashley Evans 90' (OG)
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nathan Wood 35' goal
  • Ashley Evans 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noah Edwards 13'
  • yellowcard Dion Donohue 33'
  • yellowcard Rob Hughes 62'
  • goal Charles Jones 67'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
May 1, 2021 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jake Bickerstaff 20' goal
  • Sion Bradley 90'+4' goal
  • goal Kane Owen 34'
  • goal Lewis Harling 70'
  • yellowcard Mattie Davies 78'
  • yellowcard Ashley Evans 83'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ben Ahmun 23' yellowcard
  • Kostya Georgievsky 34' goal
  • Ashley Evans 61' yellowcard
  • Rhys Griffiths 86' yellowcard
  • Connor Davies 89' yellowcard
  • Nathan Wood 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Louis Malandjou 26'
  • yellowcard Gruff John Williams 28'
  • yellowcard Joe Williams 68'
  • yellowcard Jack Kenny 90'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 5, 2020 2.15pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kostya Georgievsky 14' goal
  • Matthew Harris 39' yellowcard
  • Lewis Harling 45'+2' goal
  • Kostya Georgievsky 56' goal
  • Lewis Harling 67' goal
  • Ben Ahmun 69' goal
  • Ian Traylor 75' goal
  • yellowcard Noah Edwards 88'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Darren Thomas 18' yellowcard
  • Joe Williams 44' yellowcard
  • Noah Edwards 67' yellowcard
  • Danny Brookwell 72' yellowcard
  • Mike Hayes 82' goal
  • yellowcard Ashley Evans 21'
  • yellowcard Lewis Harling 69'
  • goal Mael Davies 75'