Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Park Hall Stadium

Ryan Brobbel 16'
Adam Wilson 42'
Gwion Dafydd 90'+3'

The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions

W
W
W
W
L
W

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
W
W
W

Last game

Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm

New Saints 2 - 0 Pontypridd

Goals scored

112

Top scorer

Declan McManus

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
W
L
L
L
W

Welsh Premier League

W
W
L
L
W
W

Last game

Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Aberystwyth

Goals scored

45

Top scorer

Fidel O'Rourke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 74.09%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 9.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result

The New Saints 74.09% ▲ (+2.51)

Draw 15.98% ▼ (-0.69)

Caernarfon Town 9.92% ▼ (-1.82)

Both Teams to Score:

49.56% ▼ (-4.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.71% ▼ (-2.14)

Under 2.5 37.29% ▲ (+2.13)

Over 3.5 40.5% ▼ (-2.34)

Under 3.5 59.5% ▲ (+2.34)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 91.39% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 0.5 8.61% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 1.5 70.27% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 1.5 29.73% ▼ (-0.09)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 54.23% ▼ (-4.75)

Under 0.5 45.77% ▲ (+4.74)

Over 1.5 18.46% ▼ (-3.96)

Under 1.5 81.54% ▲ (+3.96)

Score analysis

The New Saints 74.08%

Draw 15.98%

Caernarfon Town 9.92%

The New Saints

2-0 @ 11.84% ▲ (+1.23)

3-0 @ 9.68% ▲ (+1.01)

1-0 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.99)

2-1 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.21)

3-1 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.16)

4-0 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.63)

4-1 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.10)

3-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.49)

5-0 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.32)

5-1 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.05)

4-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.30)

6-0 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.13)

Other @ 4.34%

Total : 74.08%

Draw

1-1 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.19)

0-0 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.40)

2-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.60)

Other @ 0.87%

Total : 15.98%

Caernarfon Town

0-1 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.09)

1-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.50)

0-2 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.21)

Other @ 2.69%

Total : 9.92%

Head to Head

Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT

Declan McManus 2'
Ryan Brobbel 42'
Declan McManus 88'

Gwion Dafydd 90'+4'

Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm

0

4

HT : 0 1

FT

Bobby Beaumont 26'

Declan McManus 28'
Ryan Brobbel 56'
Chris Marriott 61'
Adrian Cieslewicz 80'
Jordan Williams 86'

Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm

5

3

HT : 3 1

FT

Daniel Davies 6'
Declan McManus 24'
Louis Bradford 30'
Daniel Redmond 64'
Declan McManus 67'
Blaine Hudson 75'
Jon Routledge 88'
Ash Baker 90'+4'

Danny Gosset 19'
Dion Donohue 24'
Darren Thomas 60'
Iwan Cartwright 63'
Darren Thomas 68'
G 86'

Apr 27, 2021 7.45pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Jamie Mullan 41'
Jon Routledge 45'+3'
Louis Robles 66'
Daniel Redmond 89'

Darren Thomas 43'
J. Gruffydd 77'
Jack Kenny 78'
Paulo Mendes 82'
Lewis Brass 90'+1'
90'+1'
Jack Kenny 90'+2'

Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Louis Malandjou 11'
Noah Edwards 25'
Noah Edwards 83'

Blaine Hudson 13'
Greg Draper 67'
Ryan Harrington 76'
Blaine Hudson 84'

Apr 2, 2021 5.00pm

4

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Blaine Hudson 8'
Ryan Brobbel 48'
Ryan Brobbel 71'
Blaine Hudson 84'
Ryan Harrington 88'

Michael Parker 70'
Louis Malandjou 90'+2'

Form Data

New Saints 2 - 0 Pontypridd

Bala Town 0 - 5 New Saints

New Saints 4 - 1 Newtown

New Saints 6 - 2 Flint Town

New Saints 0 - 3 Dundee

Cardiff MU 0 - 7 New Saints

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Aberystwyth

Caernarfon 2 - 0 Flint Town

Pontypridd 3 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 0 - 2 Connah's Quay

Clyde 1 - 0 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Haverfordwest