Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
3 - 0
Caernarfon

Brobbel (16'), Wilson (42'), Dafydd (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 74.09%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 9.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
74.09% (2.506 2.51)15.98% (-0.69 -0.69)9.92% (-1.818 -1.82)
Both teams to score 49.56% (-4.312 -4.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.71% (-2.133 -2.13)37.29% (2.129 2.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.5% (-2.334 -2.33)59.5% (2.332 2.33)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.39% (0.028999999999996 0.03)8.61% (-0.033099999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.27% (0.078000000000003 0.08)29.73% (-0.081 -0.08)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.23% (-4.741 -4.74)45.77% (4.738 4.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.46% (-3.959 -3.96)81.54% (3.958 3.96)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 74.08%
    Caernarfon Town 9.92%
    Draw 15.98%
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
2-0 @ 11.84% (1.22 1.22)
3-0 @ 9.68% (1.01 1.01)
1-0 @ 9.66% (0.981 0.98)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-0 @ 5.94% (0.628 0.63)
4-1 @ 4.64% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.485 -0.49)
5-0 @ 2.91% (0.311 0.31)
5-1 @ 2.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.293 -0.29)
6-0 @ 1.19% (0.129 0.13)
6-1 @ 0.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 74.08%
1-1 @ 7.55% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.395 0.4)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.599 -0.6)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 15.98%
0-1 @ 3.08% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 2.95% (-0.494 -0.49)
0-2 @ 1.2% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.31 -0.31)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 9.92%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
New Saints
3-1
Caernarfon
McManus (2', 88'), Brobbel (42')
Dafydd (90+4')
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
0-4
New Saints

Beaumont (26')
McManus (28'), Brobbel (56'), Cieslewicz (80'), Williams (86')
Marriott (61')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
New Saints
5-3
Caernarfon
Davies (6'), McManus (24'), Bradford (30'), Hudson (75'), Baker (90+4')
Redmond (64'), McManus (67'), Routledge (88')
Gosset (19'), Thomas (68'), G (86')
Donohue (24'), Thomas (60'), Cartwright (63')
Apr 27, 2021 7.45pm
New Saints
0-0
Caernarfon

Mullan (41'), Routledge (45+3'), Robles (66'), Redmond (89')

Thomas (43'), Kenny (78'), Mendes (82'), Brass (90+1'), (90+1')
Gruffydd (77'), Kenny (90+2')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
0-2
New Saints

Malandjou (11'), Edwards (25')
Edwards (83')
Draper (67'), Hudson (84')
Hudson (13'), Harrington (76')