Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm

0

3

HT : 0 0

FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Dion Donohue 62'
Fidel O'Rourke 72'
Fidel O'Rourke 89'

Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions

W
L
W
L
L
L

Welsh Premier League

W
L
W
L
L
L

Last game

Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm

Newtown 0 - 1 Cardiff MU

Goals scored

41

Top scorer

Sam Jones

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

L
W
W
L
L
L

Welsh Premier League

L
W
W
L
L
W

Last game

Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm

New Saints 3 - 0 Caernarfon

Goals scored

45

Top scorer

Fidel O'Rourke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result

Cardiff MU 56.84% ▼ (-0.07)

Draw 22.33% ▲ (+0.07)

Caernarfon Town 20.83% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

55.2% ▼ (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.26% ▼ (-0.28)

Under 2.5 43.74% ▲ (+0.28)

Over 3.5 33.87% ▼ (-0.27)

Under 3.5 66.13% ▲ (+0.27)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5 84.82% ▼ (-0.12)

Under 0.5 15.17% ▲ (+0.12)

Over 1.5 56.21% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 1.5 43.79% ▲ (+0.22)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 65.07% ▼ (-0.16)

Under 0.5 34.93% ▲ (+0.15)

Over 1.5 28.33% ▼ (-0.16)

Under 1.5 71.67% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

Cardiff MU 56.84%

Draw 22.33%

Caernarfon Town 20.83%

Cardiff MU

1-0 @ 9.99% ▲ (+0.08)

2-1 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.04)

3-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.03)

3-0 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.03)

4-1 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.03)

4-0 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.02)

4-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.02)

5-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)

5-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.66%

Total : 56.84%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.51% ▲ (+0.04)

0-0 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.07)

2-2 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.03)

3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.15%

Total : 22.33%

Caernarfon Town

0-1 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.05)

1-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.02)

1-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.02)

0-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2%

Total : 20.83%

Head to Head

Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm

5

1

HT : 3 1

FT The Oval

Ben Wynne 3'
Ben Wynne 25'
Darren Thomas 42'
Alex Lang 73'
Noah Edwards 80'
Darren Thomas 88'

Eliot Evans 30'
Matt Chubb 73'
Tom Price 82'

May 7, 2022 5.15pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT The Oval

Mike Hayes 45'+1'
Dion Donohue 63'
Darren Thomas 72'

Matt Chubb 78'

Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Paulo Mendes 31'
Byron Harrison 67'

Chris Craven 43'
Adam Roscrow 68'

Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Cardiff International Sports Stadium

Tom Price 84'

Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Chris Craven 15'
Adam Roscrow 53'

Darren Thomas 23'

Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Josh Bailey 23'
Danny Gosset 28'
Mike Hayes 54'
Darren Thomas 64'
Iwan Cartwright 71'
Mike Hayes 90'+2'

Joe Evans 45'

Form Data

Newtown 0 - 1 Cardiff MU

Connah's Quay 2 - 0 Cardiff MU

Cardiff MU 2 - 1 Aberystwyth

Haverfordwest 1 - 0 Cardiff MU

Bala Town 2 - 0 Cardiff MU

Cardiff MU 0 - 7 New Saints

New Saints 3 - 0 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Aberystwyth

Caernarfon 2 - 0 Flint Town

Pontypridd 3 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 0 - 2 Connah's Quay

Clyde 1 - 0 Caernarfon