Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.