Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 12.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.71%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.