Welsh Premier League Gameweek 18
Dec 16, 2022 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park
  • Louis Robles 4' goal
  • Aaron Williams 15' goal
  • Louis Robles 40' goal
  • Louis Robles 88' goal
  • goal Ben Ahmun 13'
  • goal Ben Ahmun 90'+1'

Newtown AFC vs Pontypridd United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Dec 11, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown 2 - 0 Haverfordwest
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Aaron Williams

Pontypridd United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Pontypridd 0 - 1 Cardiff MU
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Ben Ahmun

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result

Newtown AFC 46.74% (-0.04)
Draw 24.51% (+0.02)
Pontypridd United 28.75% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.53% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.02% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 45.98% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 31.71% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 68.29% (+0.06)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5 80.23% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 19.77% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 48.19% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 51.81% (+0.07)

Pontypridd United Goals

Over 0.5 70.46% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 29.54% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 34.44% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 65.56% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Newtown AFC 46.74%
Draw 24.51%
Pontypridd United 28.75%
Newtown AFC
1-0 @ 9.47% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.67% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 46.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.84% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.51%
Pontypridd United
0-1 @ 7.12% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.04% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.34% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 28.75%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Ynysangharad Park
  • Kurtis Rees 55' goal
  • goal Louis Robles 17'
  • goal Aaron Williams 27'
  • goal Louis Robles 43'
  • goal Henry Cowans 78'