Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ynysangharad Park
Bala Town logo

Pontypridd
2 - 1
Bala Town

Ahmun (13'), Bloom (35')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Smith (26')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-1 Pontypridd
Saturday, December 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Bala Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 3-0 Caernarfon
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 13.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 1-0 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawBala Town
13.88% (-0.745 -0.74)19.32% (-0.236 -0.24)66.8% (0.98100000000001 0.98)
Both teams to score 50.84% (-1.19 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.65% (-0.568 -0.57)42.35% (0.567 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.25% (-0.57 -0.57)64.75% (0.56999999999999 0.57)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.62% (-1.416 -1.42)42.37% (1.416 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.24% (-1.238 -1.24)78.76% (1.239 1.24)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.23% (0.102 0.1)11.76% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.06% (0.21599999999999 0.22)36.94% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 13.88%
    Bala Town 66.78%
    Draw 19.32%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 4.28% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 3.93% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-0 @ 1.84% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-1 @ 1.13% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 13.88%
1-1 @ 9.16% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 19.32%
0-2 @ 11.41% (0.37 0.37)
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-3 @ 8.14% (0.3 0.3)
1-3 @ 6.99% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.36% (0.177 0.18)
1-4 @ 3.74% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-5 @ 1.87% (0.083 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.61% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1.6% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 66.78%

How you voted: Pontypridd vs Bala Town

Pontypridd Town AFC
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bala Town
50.0%
8