Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.