Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 65.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 14.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.44%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.