Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Maes Tegid

George Newell 16'
Adam Roscrow 40'
Chris Venables 89'

Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions

W
W
W
L
W
D

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
L
W
D

Last game

Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm

Caernarfon 1 - 5 Bala Town

Goals scored

53

Top scorer

George Newell

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

L
L
L
D
L
W

Welsh Premier League

L
L
L
D
L
W

Last game

Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm

Caernarfon 1 - 5 Bala Town

Goals scored

45

Top scorer

Fidel O'Rourke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 77%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 8.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.86%) and 1-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result

Bala Town 77% ▲ (+0.03)

Draw 14.97% ▼ (-0.02)

Caernarfon Town 8.04% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

44.89% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.08% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 2.5 38.92% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 38.76% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 3.5 61.24% ▼ (-0.05)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5 91.65% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 0.5 8.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 1.5 70.92% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 29.08% ▼ (-0.04)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 48.98% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 0.5 51.02% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 14.64% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 85.36% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bala Town 76.98%

Draw 14.97%

Caernarfon Town 8.04%

Bala Town

2-0 @ 13.13%

3-0 @ 10.86%

1-0 @ 10.57% ▼ (-0.02)

2-1 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.01)

4-0 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)

5-0 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)

5-1 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.01)

4-2 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)

6-0 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 4%

Total : 76.98%

Draw

1-1 @ 7.12% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 2.97%

Other @ 0.61%

Total : 14.97%

Caernarfon Town

0-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.77%

Total : 8.04%

Head to Head

Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm

1

5

HT : 1 2

FT The Oval

Darren Thomas 5'

Antony Kay 10'
Lassana Nalatche Mendes 34'
Luke Wall 51'
Oliver Shannon 65'
James Davies 90'+2'

Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Dion Donohue 55'
Aaron Simpson 80'

Will Evans 55'
Dean Ebbe 75'

Feb 12, 2022 5.15pm

3

3

HT : 0 2

FT

Dion Donohue 37'
J. Faux 49'
Sion Bradley 71'
Cai Jones 84'

Dean Ebbe 14'
Dean Ebbe 44'
Will Evans 86'
Sean Smith 90'
Will Evans 90'+3'

Feb 4, 2022 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Dean Ebbe 36'
Oliver Shannon 71'
Kieran Smith 75'
Oliver Shannon 90'+5'

Rob Hughes 29'
Josh Bailey 55'
Josh Bailey 56'
Darren Thomas 62'
Cai Jones 82'

May 4, 2021 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT

M. Cleworth 11'
M. Cleworth 45'
Sion Bradley 54'

Anthony Stephens 52'
Sean Smith 69'
Kieran Smith 79'

Apr 17, 2021 5.15pm

5

2

HT : 1 2

FT

Will Evans 14'
Chris Venables 20'
Chris Venables 35'
Jonny Spittle 45'+2'
A 45'+2'
Jonny Spittle 57'
Will Evans 69'
Chris Venables 89'
Will Evans 90'+3'

Jake Bickerstaff 33'
Gareth Edwards 36'
Mike Hayes 45'+2'
M 56'

Form Data

Caernarfon 1 - 5 Bala Town

Bala Town 2 - 1 Airbus UK

Bala Town 1 - 0 Flint Town

Cardiff MU 1 - 0 Bala Town

Bala Town 3 - 0 Aberystwyth

Bala Town 1 - 1 Pen-y-Bont

Caernarfon 1 - 5 Bala Town

Flint Town 2 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 3 Newtown

Connah's Quay 3 - 3 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 0 - 2 Pen-y-Bont

Cardiff MU 0 - 3 Caernarfon