Welsh Premier League Gameweek 19
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ground Cae-y-Castell
  • Anthony Stephens 10' goal
  • Larnell Cole 90' goal
  • goal Joe Faux 53'

Flint Town United vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flint Town United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Dec 10, 2022 1.00pm
Flint Town 1 - 1 Cardiff MU
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Okera Simmonds

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon 2 - 3 Newtown
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Fidel O'Rourke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flint Town United in this match.

Result

Flint Town United 53.37% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 23% ▼ (-0.05)
Caernarfon Town 23.64% ▼ (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.82% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.6% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 43.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.2% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 65.8% ▼ (-0.05)

Flint Town United Goals

Over 0.5 83.76% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 16.24% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 54.24% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 45.76% ▼ (-0.18)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.84% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 0.5 32.17% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 31.35% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 68.66% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

Flint Town United 53.37%
Draw 23%
Caernarfon Town 23.64%
Flint Town United
2-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 53.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23%
Caernarfon Town
1-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 23.64%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Oval
  • Fidel O'Rourke 82' goal
  • Ben Wynne 86' goal
Welsh Premier League
May 14, 2022 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Oval
  • Noah Edwards 22' yellowcard
  • Dion Donohue 44' yellowcard
  • Danny Gosset 97' goal
  • Laurie Bell 120' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Hart 38'
  • yellowcard Alex Jones 100'
  • goal Ben Nash 102'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 1 4
FT
  • Ross Weaver 3' yellowcard
  • Dan Roberts 28' goal
  • Alex Jones 45' yellowcard
  • Ben Nash 69' yellowcard
  • Jack Kenny 70' yellowcard
  • Mark Cadwallader 75' goal
  • Mark Cadwallader 77' goal
  • Connor Harwood 85' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • Ross Weaver 88' redcard
  • goal Mike Hayes 21'
  • goal Rob Hughes 22'
  • yellowcard Rob Hughes 35'
  • yellowcard Ryan Williams 39'
  • goal Noah Edwards 42'
  • goal Dion Donohue 45'+2'
  • redcard Aaron Simpson 63'
  • yellowcard Darren Thomas 70'
  • yellowcard Noah Edwards 76'
  • yellowcard Josh Bailey 78'
  • yellowcard Gruffydd John 89'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rob Hughes 12' goal
  • Noah Edwards 23' yellowcard
  • Aaron Simpson 75' yellowcard
  • Mike Hayes 83' goal
  • yellowcard Jake Phillips 24'
  • yellowcard Dan Roberts 32'
  • yellowcard Alex Jones 33'
  • goal Michael Wilde 72'
  • goal Connor Harwood 76'
  • goal Michael Wilde 89'
  • yellowcard Sam Hart 90'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 11
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Callum Bratley 31' yellowcard
  • Josh Amis 64' yellowcard
  • Connor Harwood 68' yellowcard
  • Ben Maher 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Kenny 34'
  • yellowcard Noah Edwards 45'+2'
  • goal Gareth Edwards 63'
  • goal Sion Bradley 66'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 30, 2020 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Louis Augustin Malandjou Kondjo 36' yellowcard
  • 60' yellowcard
  • Paulo Mendes 73' goal
  • Charles Jones 76' goal
  • 83' yellowcard
  • Darren Thomas 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Craig 20'
  • yellowcard Ben Nash 38'
  • yellowcard Connor Harwood 42'
  • yellowcard 60'
  • yellowcard John Danby 88'
  • goal Richie Foulkes 89'