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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ground Cae-y-Castell

Flint Town
2 - 1
Caernarfon

Stephens (10'), Cole (90')
Beaumont (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Faux (53')
Cartwright (52'), Simpson (63'), Gosset (80')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, December 10 at 1pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-3 Newtown
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flint Town United in this match.

Result
Flint Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
53.37% (0.233 0.23) 23% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 23.64% (-0.181 -0.18)
Both teams to score 56.82% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.6% (0.044000000000004 0.04)43.41% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.2% (0.042999999999999 0.04)65.8% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (0.099999999999994 0.1)16.24% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.24% (0.177 0.18)45.76% (-0.174 -0.17)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)32.17% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-0.15 -0.15)68.66% (0.15400000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Flint Town United 53.37%
    Caernarfon Town 23.64%
    Draw 23%
Flint Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.63% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 23.64%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Flint Town
O'Rourke (82'), Wynne (86')
Edwards (36')
May 14, 2022 2pm
Caernarfon
2-1
Flint Town
Gosset (97'), Bell (120')
Edwards (22'), Donohue (44')
Nash (102')
Hart (38'), Jones (100')
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
Flint Town
3-4
Caernarfon
Roberts (28'), Cadwallader (75' pen., 77')
Weaver (3'), Jones (45'), Nash (69'), Kenny (70'), Harwood (85'), (87')
Weaver (88')
Hayes (21'), Hughes (22'), Edwards (42'), Donohue (45+2' pen.)
Hughes (35'), Williams (39'), Thomas (70'), Edwards (76'), Bailey (78'), John (89')
Simpson (63')
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-3
Flint Town
Hughes (12'), Hayes (83')
Edwards (23'), Simpson (75')
Wilde (72', 89'), Harwood (76')
Phillips (24'), Roberts (32'), Jones (33'), Hart (90')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Flint Town
0-2
Caernarfon

Bratley (31'), Amis (64'), Harwood (68'), Maher (72')
Edwards (63'), Bradley (66')
Kenny (34'), Edwards (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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