Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 11.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.69%) and 3-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.