Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 21, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Aberystwyth2 - 1Caernarfon
Arnison (8'), Flint (77')
Arnison (32'), Evans (33')
Arnison (32'), Evans (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alun (89')
Hughes (32'), John Williams (34'), Faux (38')
Hughes (32'), John Williams (34'), Faux (38')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-3 Pen-y-Bont
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Airbus UK 0-3 Caernarfon
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 38.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.71%) and 0-2 (4.88%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
38.3% ( 1.07) | 22.65% ( -0.27) | 39.05% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 66.78% ( 1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
