Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18

Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Esenler Stadyumu

Airbus UK
0 - 3
Caernarfon

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hughes (4' pen.), Faux (19'), Thomas (47')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Airbus UK Broughton and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airbus UK Broughton

All competitions

Last Game: Airbus UK 0-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, January 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 5-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, January 7 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Airbus UK Broughton	Draw	Caernarfon Town
28.57% ( 3.16)	22.62% ( 2.69)	48.81% ( -5.85)

Both teams to score 63.04% (

-7.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.65% (

-10.6)

37.34% (

10.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.44% (

-12.39)

59.56% (

12.38)

Airbus UK Broughton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.73% (

-3.55)

25.27% (

3.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.97% (

-5.14)

60.03% (

5.13)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.36% (

-5.43)

15.64% (

5.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.35% (

-11.15)

44.65% (

11.14)

Score Analysis

Airbus UK Broughton 28.57%

Caernarfon Town 48.81%

Draw 22.62%

Airbus UK Broughton	Draw	Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 6.94% ( 1.04) 1-0 @ 5.44% ( 2.05) 2-0 @ 3.74% ( 1.15) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.47) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.4) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.57%	1-1 @ 10.08% ( 2.35) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 1.73) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.78) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.62%	1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.54) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 2.27) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 1.03) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.92) 0-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.98% ( -1.14) 1-4 @ 2.69% ( -1.14) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.56) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( -1.07) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0.75) Other @ 3.86% Total : 48.81%