Welsh Premier League Gameweek 18
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Esenler Stadyumu
  • goal Rob Hughes 4'
  • goal Joe Faux 19'
  • goal Darren Thomas 47'

Airbus UK Broughton vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Airbus UK Broughton

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Jan 7, 2023 2.30pm
Airbus UK 0 - 2 Cardiff MU
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Jake Eyre

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Jan 7, 2023 12.45pm
Pen-y-Bont 5 - 1 Caernarfon
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Fidel O'Rourke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result

Airbus UK Broughton 28.57% (+3.16)
Draw 22.62% (+2.69)
Caernarfon Town 48.81% (-5.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.04% (-7.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.65% (-10.60)
Under 2.5 37.34% (+10.59)
Over 3.5 40.44% (-12.40)
Under 3.5 59.56% (+12.39)

Airbus UK Broughton Goals

Over 0.5 74.73% (-3.55)
Under 0.5 25.27% (+3.55)
Over 1.5 39.97% (-5.14)
Under 1.5 60.03% (+5.14)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 84.36% (-5.44)
Under 0.5 15.64% (+5.43)
Over 1.5 55.35% (-11.15)
Under 1.5 44.65% (+11.15)

Score analysis

Airbus UK Broughton 28.57%
Draw 22.62%
Caernarfon Town 48.81%
Airbus UK Broughton
2-1 @ 6.94% (+1.04)
1-0 @ 5.44% (+2.05)
2-0 @ 3.74% (+1.16)
3-1 @ 3.18% (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.48)
3-0 @ 1.71% (+0.40)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.30)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.08% (+2.36)
2-2 @ 6.44% (-0.30)
0-0 @ 3.95% (+1.74)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.78)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.62%
Caernarfon Town
1-2 @ 9.36% (+0.55)
0-1 @ 7.33% (+2.28)
0-2 @ 6.8% (+1.03)
1-3 @ 5.79% (-0.92)
0-3 @ 4.21% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 3.98% (-1.14)
1-4 @ 2.69% (-1.15)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.56)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-1.08)
Other @ 4.86%
Total : 48.81%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Oval
  • Sion Bradley 50' goal
  • Rob Hughes 76' goal
  • Iwan Cartwright 83' yellowcard
  • Sion Bradley 90' goal
  • goal Steve Tomassen 40'
  • yellowcard Jake Eyre 65'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 13, 2019 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Oval (Caernarfon, Gwynedd)
  • Darren Thomas 58' goal
  • Sion Bradley 66' goal
  • Darren Thomas 71' goal
  • Leo Smith 86' goal
  • Sam Jones 90' goal
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2019 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Hollingsworth Group International Airfield (Broughton, Flintshire)
  • Andy Owens 7' goal
  • Matthew Sargent 19' yellowcard
  • Joe Palmer 38' yellowcard
  • Walid Gharbaoui 46' yellowcard
  • Jake Phillips 54' yellowcard
  • Ryan Edwards 72' goal
  • Andy Owens 80' yellowcard
  • goal Curtis Strong 71' (OG)
  • goal Darren Thomas 79'
  • goal Jamie Breese 87'