Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Jan 7, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium
Pen-y-Bont5 - 1Caernarfon
FT(HT: 3-0)
Cartwright (78')
Thomas (39'), John Williams (71'), Wynne (85')
Thomas (39'), John Williams (71'), Wynne (85')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-0 Airbus UK
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-1 New Saints
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 61.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
61.71% ( 0.37) | 20.2% ( -0.19) | 18.09% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.76% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
