Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.