Dec 22, 2022 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Eliot Evans 2'
Callum Roberts 72'

Matt Chubb 20' (OG)

Cardiff MU vs Newtown AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions

W
D
W
W
L
L

Welsh Premier League

W
D
W
W
L
L

Last game

Dec 16, 2022 7.45pm

Cardiff MU 2 - 0 Haverfordwest

Goals scored

41

Top scorer

Sam Jones

Newtown AFC

All competitions

W
W
W
W
W
L

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
W
W
L

Last game

Dec 16, 2022 7.45pm

Newtown 4 - 2 Pontypridd

Goals scored

54

Top scorer

Aaron Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Cardiff MU 33.73% ▲ (+0.45)

Draw 24.44% ▲ (+0.02)

Newtown AFC 41.82% ▼ (-0.46)

Both Teams to Score:

59.21% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.45% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 2.5 43.54% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 3.5 34.06% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 3.5 65.93% ▼ (-0.07)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5 74.88% ▲ (+0.30)

Under 0.5 25.12% ▼ (-0.30)

Over 1.5 40.18% ▲ (+0.41)

Under 1.5 59.82% ▼ (-0.41)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5 79.07% ▼ (-0.19)

Under 0.5 20.92% ▲ (+0.18)

Over 1.5 46.34% ▼ (-0.29)

Under 1.5 53.65% ▲ (+0.29)

Score analysis

Cardiff MU 33.73%

Draw 24.43%

Newtown AFC 41.82%

Cardiff MU

2-1 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.07)

1-0 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.04)

2-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.07)

3-1 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.07)

3-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.04)

3-0 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.06)

4-1 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 3.61%

Total : 33.73%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.35%

2-2 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.02)

0-0 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.02)

3-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.22%

Total : 24.43%

Newtown AFC

1-2 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.05)

0-1 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.08)

0-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.10)

1-3 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.06)

0-3 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.07)

2-3 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)

1-4 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.04)

0-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.04)

2-4 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 2.73%

Total : 41.82%

Head to Head

Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Lewis Rees 42'

Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Brett Taylor 71'
George Hughes 82'

Chris Baker 66'
Chris Craven 69'
Matt Chubb 87'
Emlyn Lewis 90'

Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Sam Jones 17'
Matt Chubb 63'
Chris Craven 71'
Chris Baker 78'

Lifumpa Mwandwe 29'
Craig Williams 45'+1'
Dave Jones 56'
Matthew Hearsey 90'+4'

May 4, 2021 7.45pm

2

3

HT : 1 1

FT

Tyrone Ofori 1'
Alex Fletcher 32'
Callum Roberts 44'
Kieran Mills-Evans 53'
Tyrone Ofori 57'
Nick Rushton 66'

Lewis Rees 5'
Chris Baker 42'
Ollie Hulbert 54'
Emlyn Lewis 60'
Emlyn Lewis 66'
Eliot Evans 77'
Bradley Woolridge 86'

Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm

2

2

HT : 1 2

FT

Chris Baker 22'
Liam Warman 57'
Liam Warman 64'
Bradley Woolridge 80'

Kieran Mills-Evans 14'
Lifumpa Mwandwe 42'
Tyrone Ofori 53'
Jordan Evans 84'
James Davies 90'+1'

Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm

4

1

HT : 2 1

FT

Tyrone Ofori 5'
Tyrone Ofori 28'
Lifumpa Mwandwe 36'
Jordan Evans 57'
George Hughes 63'
Jordan Evans 69'
James O'Neill 79'

Bradley Woolridge 21'
Dylan Rees 41'
Emlyn Lewis 52'
Eliot Evans 56'
Tom Price 63'

Form Data

Cardiff MU 2 - 0 Haverfordwest

Flint Town 1 - 1 Cardiff MU

Pontypridd 0 - 1 Cardiff MU

Cardiff MU 1 - 0 Bala Town

New Saints 4 - 0 Cardiff MU

Cardiff MU 0 - 3 Caernarfon

Newtown 4 - 2 Pontypridd

Newtown 2 - 0 Haverfordwest

Caernarfon 2 - 3 Newtown

Flint Town 1 - 4 Newtown

Newtown 2 - 1 Airbus UK

Connah's Quay 3 - 1 Newtown