Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Hayes (57')
Hughes (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Snaith (4'), Evans (90' og.)
Evans (59'), Watts (84')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawPen-y-Bont
32.29%24.07%43.63%
Both teams to score 60.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.72%42.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.31%64.68%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63%25.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83%60.17%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41%19.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47%51.53%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 32.29%
    Pen-y-Bont 43.63%
    Draw 24.07%
Caernarfon TownDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 7.62%
1-0 @ 6.82%
2-0 @ 4.68%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 32.29%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-1 @ 8.1%
0-2 @ 6.6%
1-3 @ 4.92%
0-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 3.38%
1-4 @ 2.01%
0-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 43.63%