Welsh Premier League Gameweek 18
Jan 10, 2023 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Park Avenue Ground
  • goal Keyon Reffell 24'
  • goal Kostya Georgievsky 38'
  • goal Jack Rimmer 64' (OG)

Aberystwyth Town vs Pen-y-Bont - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Jan 6, 2023 7.45pm
Flint Town 1 - 1 Aberystwyth
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Jonathan Evans

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Jan 7, 2023 12.45pm
Pen-y-Bont 5 - 1 Caernarfon
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Nathan Wood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result

Aberystwyth Town 20.24% (+0.16)
Draw 22.52% (+0.02)
Pen-y-Bont 57.23% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.63% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.62% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 45.37% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 32.29% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 67.71% (-0.14)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5 63.55% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 36.45% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 26.76% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 73.24% (-0.25)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 84.39% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 15.61% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 55.4% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 44.6% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Aberystwyth Town 20.24%
Draw 22.52%
Pen-y-Bont 57.23%
Aberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 5.74% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.38% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 2.9% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.81% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.68% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 20.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.52%
Pen-y-Bont
0-1 @ 10.56% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.81% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 6.13% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.08% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.09% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.85% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.82% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.06%
0-5 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 57.23%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • Billy Borge 26' goal
  • Nathan Wood 39' goal
  • Kane Owen 83' goal
  • goal Niall Flint 34'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 20
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Ben Ahmun 8' goal
  • Ben Ahmun 15' goal
  • Ben Ahmun 20' goal
  • Ashley Evans 60' yellowcard
  • Nathan Wood 77' goal
  • yellowcard John Owen 52'
  • redcard Alex Darlington 60'
  • yellowcard Jack Rimmer 90'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2021 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Owain Jones 29' yellowcard
  • Lee Jenkins 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal James Waite 16'
  • goal Keane Watts 34'
  • goal James Waite 49'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jefferies 90'+2'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 11
Mar 27, 2021 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Harry Franklin 33' goal
  • Mike Williams 49' yellowcard
  • John Owen 72' yellowcard
  • Gwion Owen 77' yellowcard
  • Chris Roberts 80' yellowcard
  • Jack Thorn 82' yellowcard
  • Gwion Owen 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Mattie Davies 59'
  • yellowcard Sam Snaith 83'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 2
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nathan Wood 16' goal
  • Jack Davies 37' yellowcard
  • Nathan Wood 46' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Louis Bradford 37'
  • yellowcard Jack Rimmer 45'+1'
  • goal Louis Bradford 47'
  • yellowcard Mike Williams 69'
  • yellowcard Matthew Jones 71'
  • redcard Matthew Jones 82'
  • yellowcard Harri Rowe 82'
  • yellowcard 88'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Apr 10, 2020 7.45pm