MX23RW : Wednesday, May 22 01:32:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
6 - 1
Aberystwyth

Flint (14' og.), Williams (51' pen.), Aris (54', 63'), Rushton (56', 73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Evans (80')
Rimmer (51'), Darlington (65'), Lewis (68')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-2 Newtown
Monday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-2 Newtown
Monday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 68%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
68% (0.318 0.32) 18.25% (-0.164 -0.16) 13.75% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 54.33% (0.169 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39% (0.428 0.43)37.61% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.16% (0.458 0.46)59.84% (-0.459 -0.46)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.88% (0.19499999999999 0.19)10.12% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.7% (0.446 0.45)33.3% (-0.448 -0.45)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.45% (0.056000000000004 0.06)39.55% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.76% (0.053999999999998 0.05)76.23% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 68%
    Aberystwyth Town 13.75%
    Draw 18.25%
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 10.5% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.02% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.44% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.59% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.26% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.1% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.95% (0.044 0.04)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 68%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.25%
1-2 @ 3.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.72% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 13.75%

How you voted: Newtown vs Aberystwyth

Newtown AFC
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Aberystwyth Town
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Evans (28')
Davies (60')
Mills-Evans (30', 43')
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-4
Newtown
Phillips (51'), Davies (89')
Veale (22'), Jenkins (38')
Rushton (4', 18', 68'), Davies (76')
(77')
Sep 17, 2021 7.45pm
Newtown
1-2
Aberystwyth
Roberts (50')
Mills-Evans (76'), Arsan (76'), Roberts (84')
Veale (36'), Evans (86')
Rimmer (5'), Phillips (41'), Evans (76'), Jones (77'), Davies (86')
May 15, 2021 12pm
Newtown
0-4
Aberystwyth

Steventon (23'), O'Neill (58'), McAllister (75')
Jones (23' pen.), Evans (47'), Jones (50'), Franklin (84')
Jenkins (37')
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Williams (40')
Franklin (27')
Ofori (74'), Evans (90+3')
Fletcher (44'), Edwards (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints101000117189992
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1033470432759
3Bala TownBala Town103523831751
4Newtown AFCNewtown103254946344
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon102445270-1841
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU1012763102-3936
Relegation Round
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont106314637943
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest104333940-143
3Barry Town UnitedBarry101633654-1832
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth103342757-3027
5Colwyn Bay103253466-3225
6Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd103343672-3622
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!