Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9

Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 2
Pontypridd

Wynne (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Simpson (50' og.), Cummings (72')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Flint Town 0-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 8 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-0 Pontypridd
Friday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Pontypridd Town AFC in this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Pontypridd Town AFC
34.97% ( 0.08)	24.88% ( -0.03)	40.15% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 57.95% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.68% (

0.15)

45.32% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.34% (

0.14)

67.66% (

-0.14)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76% (

0.12)

25.24% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.01% (

0.16)

59.99% (

-0.15)

Pontypridd Town AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.51% (

0.04)

22.49% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.95% (

0.06)

56.05% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 34.97%

Pontypridd Town AFC 40.15%

Draw 24.88%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Pontypridd Town AFC
2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.97%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88%	1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.15%