Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.