Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberystwyth Town in this match.