Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Mar 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
4 - 0
Airbus UK

Marsh-Hughes (1', 28', 59'), Gosset (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Airbus UK Broughton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, March 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Airbus UK Broughton

All competitions
Last Game: Airbus UK 0-3 Pontypridd
Saturday, March 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawAirbus UK Broughton
53.71% (-0.064 -0.06)23.27% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)23.03% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.15% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74% (0.073 0.07)45.26% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (0.07 0.07)67.6% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.79% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)46.75% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Airbus UK Broughton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (0.097999999999999 0.1)33.72% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.62% (0.107 0.11)70.38% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 53.7%
    Airbus UK Broughton 23.03%
    Draw 23.27%
Caernarfon TownDrawAirbus UK Broughton
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.36% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 53.7%
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.27%
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.97% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 23.03%

Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Airbus UK
0-3
Caernarfon

Edwards (3'), Peers (6'), Leblanc-Akpo (43')
Hughes (4' pen.), Faux (19'), Thomas (47')
Hughes (41')
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
3-1
Airbus UK
Bradley (50', 90', 90'), Hughes (76')
Cartwright (83'), Cartwright (83')
Tomassen (40')
Eyre (65')
Dec 13, 2019 7.45pm
Caernarfon
5-0
Airbus UK
Thomas (58', 71'), Bradley (66'), Smith (86'), Jones (90')
Aug 30, 2019 8pm
Airbus UK
2-3
Caernarfon
Owens (7'), Edwards (72')
Sargent (19'), Palmer (38'), Gharbaoui (46'), Phillips (54'), Owens (80')
Strong (71' og.), Thomas (79'), Breese (87')