Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm

0

4

HT : 0 1

FT The Oval

Darren Thomas 37'
Ryan Austin 61'
Dion Donohue 71'
Danny Gosset 75'

Declan Poole 10'
Jack Kenny 55'
Jordan Davies 70'
Noah Edwards 77'

Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

D
D
W
W
L
W

Welsh Premier League

D
D
W
W
L
W

Last game

Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm

Caernarfon 1 - 1 Bala Town

Goals scored

57

Top scorer

Adam Davies

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

W
L
W
L
L
L

Welsh Premier League

W
L
W
L
L
D

Last game

Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm

Connah's Quay 3 - 1 Newtown

Goals scored

70

Top scorer

Jordan Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result

Caernarfon Town 39.33% ▲ (+0.16)

Draw 24.93% ▼ (-0.04)

Connah's Quay Nomads 35.73% ▼ (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score:

57.9% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.56% ▲ (+0.14)

Under 2.5 45.43% ▼ (-0.14)

Over 3.5 32.23% ▲ (+0.13)

Under 3.5 67.76% ▼ (-0.14)

Over 4.5 16.24% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 4.5 83.75% ▼ (-0.10)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.05% ▲ (+0.14)

Under 0.5 22.94% ▼ (-0.15)

Over 1.5 43.28% ▲ (+0.21)

Under 1.5 56.72% ▼ (-0.21)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 75.14% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 0.5 24.86% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 40.53% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 59.46% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 39.33%

Draw 24.92%

Connah's Quay Nomads 35.73%

Caernarfon Town

2-1 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.02)

1-0 @ 8.4% ▼ (-0.02)

2-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.02)

3-1 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.03)

3-0 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.03)

3-2 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.02)

4-1 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.02)

4-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)

4-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 2.21%

Total : 39.33%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.68% ▼ (-0.02)

2-2 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.02)

0-0 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.04)

3-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.19%

Total : 24.92%

Connah's Quay Nomads

1-2 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.02)

0-1 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.05)

0-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.04)

1-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.02)

1-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 3.7%

Total : 35.73%

Head to Head

Nov 18, 2022 7.45pm

3

3

HT : 0 1

FT Deeside College Stadium

Ben Nash 69'
Joe Malkin 74'
Joe Malkin 90'+4'

Fidel O'Rourke 10'
Joe Faux 50'
Lloyd Marsh-Hughes 65'

Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Ryan Stratulis 70'
Aeron Edwards 90'+1'

Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Rob Hughes 23'
Dion Donohue 53'
Aaron Simpson 79'
Rob Hughes 90'+2'

Ryan Harrington 64'
Neal Eardley 68'

Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Craig Curran 32'
John Disney 50'
Kris Owens 70'

Darren Thomas 28'
Rob Hughes 45'+3'
Danny Gosset 71'

May 8, 2021 5.15pm

4

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Jamie Insall 10'
Michael Wilde 37'
Aron Williams 69'
Callum Morris 77'
Callum Morris 90'+2'

Lewis Brass 67'
Mike Hayes 77'
Paulo Mendes 83'

Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm

1

6

HT : 1 2

FT

Jake Bickerstaff 24'
Noah Edwards 31'

Declan Poole 16'
Michael Wilde 32'
Charles Jones 54' (OG)
Daniel Davies 73'
George Horan 79'
Daniel Davies 90'

Form Data

Caernarfon 1 - 1 Bala Town

Haverfordwest 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Newtown

Colwyn Bay 0 - 4 Caernarfon

Aberystwyth 3 - 2 Caernarfon

Flint Town 2 - 3 Caernarfon

Connah's Quay 3 - 1 Newtown

Bala Town 1 - 0 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 4 - 0 Aberystwyth

New Saints 6 - 2 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 0 - 2 KA

KA 2 - 0 Connah's Quay