MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 12:37:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
6 - 2
Connah's Quay

Cieslewicz (13', 37'), McManus (45+3', 53'), Williams (55'), Smith (89')
Williams (33'), Davies (83'), Smith (86')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Edwards (2'), Davies (35')
Edwards (79'), Disney (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swift Hesperange 3-2 New Saints
Tuesday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-2 KA
Thursday, July 20 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 75.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 9.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
75.73% (4.024 4.02) 14.81% (-1.615 -1.62) 9.46% (-2.403 -2.4)
Both teams to score 52.36% (-2.974 -2.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.15% (0.694 0.69)32.85% (-0.687 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.45% (0.793 0.79)54.56% (-0.785 -0.78)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.78% (1.001 1)7.22% (-0.9939 -0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.8% (2.555 2.55)26.2% (-2.547 -2.55)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.43% (-3.852 -3.85)43.57% (3.86 3.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.23% (-3.377 -3.38)79.77% (3.382 3.38)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 75.72%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 9.46%
    Draw 14.81%
The New SaintsDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-0 @ 10.86% (0.68 0.68)
3-0 @ 9.52% (1.032 1.03)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.381 -0.38)
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.115 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.91% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 6.25% (0.951 0.95)
4-1 @ 5.2% (0.299 0.3)
5-0 @ 3.29% (0.636 0.64)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.334 -0.33)
5-1 @ 2.73% (0.283 0.28)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1.44% (0.336 0.34)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.177 0.18)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 75.72%
1-1 @ 6.87% (-0.66 -0.66)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.594 -0.59)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 14.81%
1-2 @ 2.85% (-0.623 -0.62)
0-1 @ 2.61% (-0.399 -0.4)
0-2 @ 1.09% (-0.305 -0.31)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.299 -0.3)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 9.46%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
4-1
Connah's Quay
Daniels (34', 70'), McManus (58', 88')
Harrington (90+1')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Connah's Quay
1-1
New Saints
Horan (50')
Dafydd (90+5')
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
2-1
Connah's Quay
McManus (42'), Routledge (80')
Davies (78'), Clark (86')
Wilde (39')
Stratulis (21'), Horan (81')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
0-3
New Saints

Bradley (44')
Robles (56', 72'), Astles (70')
Davies (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints101000117189992
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1033470432759
3Bala TownBala Town103523831751
4Newtown AFCNewtown103254946344
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon102445270-1841
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU1012763102-3936
Relegation Round
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont106314637943
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest104333940-143
3Barry Town UnitedBarry101633654-1832
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth103342757-3027
5Colwyn Bay103253466-3225
6Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd103343672-3622
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813


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