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Champions League

Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Bravida Arena

Hacken
3 - 1
New Saints

Sadiq (7'), Rygaard Jensen (13'), Hovland (36')
FT(HT: 3-1)
McManus (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Hacken and The New Saints, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hacken

All competitions
Last Game: AIK 1-2 Hacken
Saturday, July 8 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

The New Saints

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff 3-1 New Saints
Tuesday, July 4 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 3-2 (5.11%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.

Result
HackenDrawThe New Saints
48.64% (1.284 1.28)20.63% (0.033999999999999 0.03)30.73% (-1.319 -1.32)
Both teams to score 72.26% (-0.91799999999999 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.01% (-0.88200000000001 -0.88)25.99% (0.881 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.79% (-1.142 -1.14)46.2% (1.141 1.14)
Hacken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.44% (0.045000000000002 0.05)11.56% (-0.045 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.51% (0.097999999999999 0.1)36.49% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (-1.082 -1.08)18.3% (1.081 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (-1.867 -1.87)49.38% (1.866 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Hacken 48.64%
    The New Saints 30.73%
    Draw 20.63%
HackenDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.209 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.161 0.16)
3-2 @ 5.11% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.289 0.29)
1-0 @ 4.56% (0.26 0.26)
3-0 @ 3.54% (0.214 0.21)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.092 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.76% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.119 0.12)
4-3 @ 1.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.043 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 48.64%
1-1 @ 7.75% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 7.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 2.89% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-0 @ 2.12% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.63%
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 4.02% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-1 @ 3.59% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.71% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-4 @ 1.23% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 30.73%

How you voted: Hacken vs New Saints

Hacken
89.1%
Draw
2.2%
The New Saints
8.7%
46