Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 3-2 (5.11%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.