Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm

2

5

HT : 0 2

FT The KYMCO Stadium

Keyon Reffell 55'
Nathan Wood 85'

Declan McManus 31'
Daniel Redmond 39'
Ash Baker 71'
Declan McManus 72'
Daniel Davies 80'

Pen-y-Bont vs The New Saints - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions

W
D
W
D
D
W

Welsh Premier League

W
D
W
D
D
W

Last game

Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm

Cardiff MU 2 - 3 Pen-y-Bont

Goals scored

51

Top scorer

Nathan Wood

The New Saints

All competitions

W
W
D
W
D
W

Welsh Premier League

W
W
D
W
D
W

Last game

Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm

Newtown 0 - 5 New Saints

Goals scored

112

Top scorer

Declan McManus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 72.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 9.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.51%) and 0-3 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result

Pen-y-Bont 9.99% ▲ (+0.02)

Draw 17.16% ▲ (+0.02)

The New Saints 72.85% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score:

45.54% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.31% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 42.69% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 34.91% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 65.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 4.5 18.2% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 4.5 81.8% ▼ (-0.01)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 50.75% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 0.5 49.24% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 1.5 15.87% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 1.5 84.13% ▼ (-0.03)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 89.72% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 0.5 10.28% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 66.34% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 33.66% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Pen-y-Bont 9.99%

Draw 17.16%

The New Saints 72.83%

Pen-y-Bont

1-0 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)

2-1 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.25%

Total : 9.99%

Draw

1-1 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.65%

Total : 17.16%

The New Saints

0-2 @ 13.09% ▼ (-0.01)

0-1 @ 11.51% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.01)

0-4 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)

1-4 @ 4%

0-5 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.01)

1-5 @ 1.82%

2-4 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 4.02%

Total : 72.83%

Head to Head

Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Park Hall Stadium

Leo Smith 18'

Nathan Wood 81'

Nov 19, 2022 5.15pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT The KYMCO Stadium

Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Park Hall Stadium

Daniel Redmond 56'
Ryan Brobbel 90'+1'

Kane Owen 30'

Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT

Ben Ahmun 6'
Rhys Griffiths 28'
Craig Rogers 83'

Ryan Brobbel 21'
Daniel Davies 26'
Ryan Brobbel 57'
Louis Robles 81'
Ryan Astles 82'

Mar 12, 2022 12.45pm

3

3

HT : 0 2

FT Park Hall Stadium

Keston Davies 26'
Ben Clark 64'
Jordan Williams 72'
Lewis Harling 76'
Ash Baker 81'

Nathan Wood 31'
Kane Owen 34'
Sam Snaith 44'
Lewis Harling 68'
Liam Walsh 89'

Dec 18, 2021 5.15pm

3

2

HT : 2 1

FT

Declan McManus 17'
Chris Marriott 31'
Jordan Williams 41'
Declan McManus 64'

Nathan Wood 27'
Sam Snaith 52'
Sam Snaith 62'

Form Data

Cardiff MU 2 - 3 Pen-y-Bont

Pen-y-Bont 2 - 2 Bala Town

Newtown 0 - 1 Pen-y-Bont

Pen-y-Bont 1 - 1 Connah's Quay

New Saints 1 - 1 Pen-y-Bont

Pen-y-Bont 2 - 1 Cardiff MU

Newtown 0 - 5 New Saints

New Saints 7 - 1 Cardiff MU

Connah's Quay 0 - 0 New Saints

New Saints 2 - 1 Bala Town

New Saints 1 - 1 Pen-y-Bont

New Saints 1 - 0 Newtown