Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 72.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 9.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.51%) and 0-3 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-Bont	Draw	The New Saints
9.99% ( 0.02)	17.16% ( 0.01)	72.85% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.54% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.31% (

0.01)

42.69% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.91% (

0.01)

65.09% (

-0)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.75% (

0.04)

49.24% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.87% (

0.03)

84.13% (

-0.03)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.72% (

-0)

10.28% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.34% (

-0.01)

33.66% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Pen-y-Bont 9.99%

The New Saints 72.83%

Draw 17.16%

Pen-y-Bont	Draw	The New Saints
1-0 @ 3.59% ( 0) 2-1 @ 2.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 9.99%	1-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 17.16%	0-2 @ 13.09% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.04% ( 0) 0-4 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 4% 0-5 @ 2.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-6 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 72.83%