Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 80.28%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 5.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.72%) and 1-0 (12.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.