Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
7 - 1
Cardiff MU

McManus (8', 40'), Daniels (19'), Redmond (25'), Marriott (58'), Cieslewicz (75'), Dafydd (89')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Veale (4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-0 New Saints
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 0-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 80.28%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 5.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.72%) and 1-0 (12.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawCardiff MU
80.28% (0.221 0.22)13.9% (-0.115 -0.11)5.81% (-0.105 -0.11)
Both teams to score 36.55% (-0.245 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57% (0.067 0.07)42.99% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.6% (0.066000000000003 0.07)65.39% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.45% (0.067999999999998 0.07)8.55% (-0.0679 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.43% (0.166 0.17)29.57% (-0.166 -0.17)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.97% (-0.299 -0.3)60.03% (0.29900000000001 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.33% (-0.152 -0.15)90.66% (0.152 0.15)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 80.27%
    Cardiff MU 5.81%
    Draw 13.9%
The New SaintsDrawCardiff MU
2-0 @ 15.51% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 12.72% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 12.61%
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 7.82% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 3.85% (0.051 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.96% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.58% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 80.27%
1-1 @ 6.44% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.02% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 13.9%
0-1 @ 2.62% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 1.64% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 5.81%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 12.45pm
Cardiff MU
3-2
New Saints
Baker (36', 68'), Evans (62')
Lewis (46')
Smith (7'), Wilson (12')
J. (77')
Nov 5, 2022 5.15pm
New Saints
4-0
Cardiff MU
Clark (38'), McManus (45+4', 68'), Dafydd (90+1')

Baker (71')
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-7
New Saints

Chubb (43')
Brobbel (7'), McManus (27', 62'), Cieslewicz (32', 58', 70'), Astles (88', 88')
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Cardiff MU
1-1
New Saints
Evans (90+4')
Baker (65')
Hudson (56')
Brobbel (45+2'), Redmond (79'), Cieslewicz (88')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
New Saints
5-0
Cardiff MU
Hudson (15'), McManus (31', 70'), Brobbel (51', 73')

Craven (54'), Lewis (71')