Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 75.23%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 8.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.52%) and 3-0 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.