Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.