Pen-y-Bont

3 - 0

Newtown

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.