Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-0 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.