Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for KA had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a KA win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.