Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

Connah's Quay
0 - 2
KA


Nash (19'), Edwards (68'), Disney (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hafsteinsson (16'), Arni Adal­steins­son (77')
Baldvinsson (5')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and KA.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: KA 2-0 Connah's Quay
Thursday, July 13 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KA 2-0 Connah's Quay
Thursday, July 13 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Aberystwyth0nan
2Bala Town0nan
3Barry0nan
4Caernarfon0nan
5Cardiff MU0nan
6Colwyn Bay0nan
7Connah's Quay0nan
8Haverfordwest0nan
9Newtown0nan
10Pen-y-Bont0nan
11Pontypridd0nan
12New Saints0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for KA had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a KA win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawKA
55.48% (0.00099999999999767 0)22.95% (0.0010000000000012 0)21.57% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 54.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48% (0.0010000000000048 0)45.53% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15%67.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.74% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.21%45.8% (0.0040000000000049 0)
KA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.03%71.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 55.48%
    KA 21.57%
    Draw 22.94%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawKA
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.86%
2-0 @ 9.45%
3-1 @ 5.97%
3-0 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 2.71%
4-0 @ 2.6%
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-1 @ 0.99%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 55.48%
1-1 @ 10.85%
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 5.98%
1-2 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 21.57%

How you voted: Connah's Quay vs KA

Connah's Quay Nomads
44.4%
Draw
11.1%
KA
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 7pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
KA
2-0
Connah's Quay
Mar Steingrimsson (60'), Hafsteinsson (83')

Edwards (17'), Wilde (86'), Poole (88'), Morris (90+2')