Welsh Premier League Gameweek 6
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Callum Morris 50' goal
  • Jack Kenny 70' goal

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Newtown AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Connah's Quay 0 - 0 New Saints
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Michael Wilde

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Newtown 0 - 1 Pen-y-Bont
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Aaron Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 63.82% (-0.03)
Draw 20.08% (+0.01)
Newtown AFC 16.1% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.85% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.82% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 41.17% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 36.43% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 63.57% (-0.03)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 87.76% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 12.24%
Over 1.5 62.06% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 37.94% (-0.01)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5 61.36% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 38.64% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 24.61% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 75.38% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 63.82%
Draw 20.08%
Newtown AFC 16.1%
Connah's Quay Nomads
2-0 @ 10.43% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.93% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.92% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.95% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.84% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.65% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 63.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.44%
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.72% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.08%
Newtown AFC
0-1 @ 4.5%
1-2 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.14% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 16.1%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park
  • Louis Robles 6' goal
  • goal Michael Wilde 90'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 6
Jan 7, 2023 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Callum Morris 27' goal
  • Michael Wilde 43' goal
  • Mike Hayes 65' goal
  • goal Aaron Williams 82'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 7
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Zeli Ismail 29' yellowcard
  • Lifumpa Mwandwe 38' goal
  • yellowcard Dion Donohue 38'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 2
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Noah Edwards 23' yellowcard
  • Danny Gosset 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lifumpa Mwandwe 9'
  • goal Nick Rushton 34'
  • goal Craig Williams 48'
  • goal Craig Williams 51'
  • goal Jamie Breese 90'+4'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ryan Sears 20' yellowcard
  • Craig Williams 35' yellowcard
  • Ryan Sears 37' redcard
  • Jake Walker 44' yellowcard
  • Callum Roberts 83' yellowcard
  • George Hughes 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig Curran 22'
  • goal Callum Morris 25'
  • yellowcard Declan Poole 63'
  • goal Craig Curran 69'