MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 17:17:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 1
Connah's Quay

Robles (6')
Hughes (23'), Mwandwe (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wilde (90')
Bratley (42')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-0 Newtown
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-1 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, January 31 at 8.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
27.2% (-0.114 -0.11) 25.54% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 47.26% (0.183 0.18)
Both teams to score 52.08% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.7% (0.201 0.2)51.3% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.87% (0.175 0.18)73.13% (-0.172 -0.17)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (0.016999999999996 0.02)33.47% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (0.019000000000002 0.02)70.11% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (0.166 0.17)21.71% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (0.252 0.25)54.87% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 27.2%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 47.26%
    Draw 25.53%
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.35% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 27.2%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 11.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.28% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.48% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.72% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 47.26%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Connah's Quay

Sears (88'), Roberts (90+3')

Malkin (34')
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
3-1
Newtown
Morris (27' pen.), Wilde (43'), Hayes (65')
Wilde (35')
Williams (82')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
1-0
Connah's Quay
Mwandwe (38')
Ismail (29')

Donohue (38')
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-4
Newtown

Edwards (23'), Gosset (72')
Rushton (34'), Williams (48', 51'), Breese (90+4')
Mwandwe (9')
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Newtown
0-2
Connah's Quay

Sears (20'), Williams (35'), Walker (44'), Roberts (83'), Hughes (89')
Sears (37')
Morris (25' pen.), Curran (69')
Curran (22'), Poole (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints101000117189992
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1033470432759
3Bala TownBala Town103523831751
4Newtown AFCNewtown103254946344
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon102445270-1841
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU1012763102-3936
Relegation Round
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont106314637943
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest104333940-143
3Barry Town UnitedBarry101633654-1832
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth103342757-3027
5Colwyn Bay103253466-3225
6Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd103343672-3622
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813


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